Tuesday, February 02, 2010

we're not scared!

here's what the key players in our carbon emitting world are pledging to do about their emissions, post COP15. what does this show? it shows we're not scared! give us what you got, Earth, we don't fear you! only wimps are afraid of global warming and rising sea levels. we've all watched waterworld, and kevin costner has showed us we can still float around on boats even if there's no more land!


Nations Carbon Emissions Reduction Checklist

* India has pledged carbon intensity cuts of 20-25 percent by 2020.
* Brazil has pledge absolute emissions cuts of emissions by 39 percent from 1990 levels by 2020, mainly through measures to slow deforestation.
* South Africa reportedly plans to submit a target of 34 percent below projected levels by 2020, though there's some concern whether it can back that ambitious target with action.
* Japan reiterated its plan to achieve absolute emissions cuts of 25 percent below 1990 levels by 2020, provided other major emitters pledge ambitious plans as well.
* Indonesia may be late, it's said to be contemplating a cut of 26 percent below projected levels by 2020.
* Canada will submit the same lame target as the U.S.: 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020. [Although, as Matt points out today, this actually allows Canada to emit more carbon than before]
* Australia has pledged absolute emissions cuts of at least 5 percent below 2000 levels by 2020, up to 25 percent contingent on the actions of other countries.
* China said it "will endeavour to lower its carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP ["carbon intensity"] by 40 to 45 percent by 2020 compared to the 2005 level." That would, of course, allow China's emissions to continue rising in absolute terms; it has said it foresees emissions peaking in 2030.

The EU has pledged to reduce emissions 20% below 1990 levels by 2020.

The island nations the Maldives will reduce emissions by 100% by 2020, making them the first carbon neutral nation.

And of course, the US brings up the rear of the industrialized world by offering a paltry 17% below 2005 levels by 2020.

So that's where all the cards lay at the moment--scattered, too weak to prevent a great temperature rise (with the given reductions, temperatures would rise 3.5 C this century, which is considered to be disastrous), and discouraging enough to prompt critics to claim there will be no global climate treaty this year, either. The only nation that could feasibly inspire real, necessary change at the moment is the US--and we all know how eager the Senate is to help the US lead on climate issues. So for the time being, it looks like the so-called 'global climate accord' is a piecemeal agreement of stitched-together promises and voluntary pledges.

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